Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.205412 0.223649 0.243043 0.265248 0.290027 0.316891 0.348304
2026-01-25 0.168858 0.193684 0.221855 0.256389 0.297847 0.346354 0.407897
2026-02-01 0.147221 0.175174 0.208396 0.251195 0.305456 0.372755 0.463801
2026-02-08 0.131019 0.160336 0.196445 0.244815 0.308874 0.392193 0.511111
2026-02-15 0.119166 0.149270 0.187472 0.240369 0.313101 0.411719 0.559355
2026-02-22 0.112497 0.143986 0.185072 0.243761 0.327401 0.445470 0.630748
2026-03-01 0.105161 0.137066 0.179686 0.242217 0.334147 0.468601 0.688674
2026-03-08 0.098215 0.130061 0.173491 0.238736 0.337363 0.486323 0.739783
2026-03-15 0.091455 0.122792 0.166305 0.233052 0.336475 0.497256 0.780670
2026-03-22 0.089027 0.121410 0.167305 0.239406 0.354364 0.539209 0.878985
2026-03-29 0.086288 0.119354 0.167101 0.243777 0.369323 0.577706 0.976397
2026-04-05 0.082704 0.115809 0.164395 0.243932 0.377260 0.604926 1.056601
2026-04-12 0.077721 0.110010 0.158080 0.238127 0.375154 0.615206 1.107511
2026-04-19 0.072739 0.103965 0.151061 0.230717 0.369735 0.619128 1.146771
2026-04-26 0.068848 0.099379 0.146035 0.226213 0.368947 0.631389 1.205079
2026-05-03 0.065042 0.094719 0.140611 0.220617 0.365644 0.638404 1.253031
2026-05-10 0.061894 0.090929 0.136359 0.216710 0.365036 0.650480 1.314052
2026-05-17 0.060379 0.089644 0.136093 0.219693 0.377493 0.689904 1.445044
2026-05-24 0.058124 0.087050 0.133504 0.218336 0.381476 0.712291 1.539063
2026-05-31 0.055706 0.084074 0.130109 0.215274 0.381822 0.726954 1.616298
2026-06-07 0.053099 0.080670 0.125815 0.210273 0.377855 0.731779 1.668751
2026-06-14 0.052514 0.080586 0.127183 0.215863 0.395808 0.787209 1.868413
2026-06-21 0.051655 0.079994 0.127624 0.219707 0.410467 0.836977 2.063671